Archive for the ‘regular reads’ Category

Creature of Anticipation

Monday, June 1st, 2009

The idea, as promoted by the philosopher Daniel Dennett, is as follows: What is the most potent use of our brain? It is precisely the ability to project conjectures into the future and play the counterfactual game—”If I punch him in the nose, then he will punch me back right away, or, worse, call his lawyer in New York.” One of the advantages of doing so is that we can let our conjectures die in our stead. Used correctly and in place of more visceral reactions, the ability to project effectively frees us from immediate, first-order natural selection—as opposed to more primitive organisms that were vulnerable to death and only grew by the improvement in the gene pool through the selection of the best. In a way, projecting allows us to cheat evolution: it now takes place in our head, as a series of projections and counterfactual scenarios.

This ability to mentally play with conjectures, even if it frees us from the laws of evolution, is itself supposed to be the product of evolution—it is as if evolution has put us on a long leash whereas other animals live on the very short leash of immediate dependence on their environment. For Dennett, our brains are “anticipation machines”; for him the human mind and consciousness are emerging properties, those properties necessary for our accelerated development.

—excerpt from The Black Swan, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

So that‘s why computer scientists run simulations on computers all day long!

CNET’s “Android ‘a revolution’” key questions

Thursday, May 21st, 2009

The importance of thinking big, the big picture, scale, a product transcending products (a.k.a. a platform):

I’d much rather be the guy that does a platform that’s capable of running on multiple companies’ phones than just focusing on a single product.

A single product is going to have, eventually, limitations. Even if that was two products that’s going to have limitations. But if it’s a hundred products, now we’re getting somewhere, to the scale at which Google thinks people want to access information.

Proactively anticipating tectonic shifts in the landscape that would create a problem, and proactively attacking the problem now:

We look at it first from the scale perspective. The mission here is to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and relevant. So the accessible part: think of a world in which you are somehow prevented from accessing the information you want. When I go to a hotel room and pay the $19.95 to get on the Internet and they have some firewall that doesn’t let me get to my Exchange server, it makes me berserk.

I look at things–and Google looks at things–in (terms of) how could the landscape change in such a way that consumers who want to access Google services can’t?

Full article here: http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-10245994-93.html

Excerpt: Larry Page’s Commencement Speech

Sunday, May 10th, 2009

Full post can be found here.

You know what it’s like to wake up in the middle of the night with a vivid dream? And you know how, if you don’t have a pencil and pad by the bed to write it down, it will be completely gone the next morning?Well, I had one of those dreams when I was 23. When I suddenly woke up, I was thinking: what if we could download the whole web, and just keep the links and… I grabbed a pen and started writing! Sometimes it is important to wake up and stop dreaming.

I spent the middle of that night scribbling out the details and convincing myself it would work. Soon after, I told my advisor, Terry Winograd, it would take a couple of weeks to download the web — he nodded knowingly, fully aware it would take much longer but wise enough to not tell me. The optimism of youth is often underrated! Amazingly, I had no thought of building a search engine. The idea wasn’t even on the radar. But, much later we happened upon a better way of ranking webpages to make a really great search engine, and Google was born.When a really great dream shows up, grab it!

When I was here at Michigan, I had actually been taught how to make dreams real! I know it sounds funny, but that is what I learned in a summer camp converted into a training program called Leadershape. Their slogan is to have a “healthy disregard for the impossible”. That program encouraged me to pursue a crazy idea at the time: I wanted to build a personal rapid transit system on campus to replace the buses. It was a futuristic way of solving our transportation problem. I still think a lot about transportation — you never loose a dream, it just incubates as a hobby. Many things that people labor hard to do now, like cooking, cleaning, and driving will require much less human time in the future. That is, if we “have a healthy disregard for the impossible” and actually build new solutions.

I think it is often easier to make progress on mega-ambitious dreams. I know that sounds completely nuts. But, since no one else is crazy enough to do it, you have little competition. There are so few people this crazy that I feel like I know them all by first name. They all travel as if they are pack dogs and stick to each other like glue. The best people want to work the big challenges. That is what happened with Google. Our mission is to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful. How can that not get you excited? But we almost didn’t start Google because my co-founder Sergey and I were too worried about dropping out of our Ph.D. program. You are probably on the right track if you feel like a sidewalk worm during a rainstorm! That is about how we felt after we maxed out three credit cards buying hard disks off the back of a truck. That was the first hardware for Google. Parents and friends: more credit cards always help. What is the one sentence summary of how you change the world? Always work hard on something uncomfortably exciting!

As a Ph.D. student, I actually had three projects I wanted to work on. Thank goodness my advisor said, “why don’t you work on the web for a while”. He gave me some seriously good advice because the web was really growing with people and activity, even in 1995! Technology and especially the internet can really help you be lazy. Lazy? What I mean is a group of three people can write software that millions can use and enjoy. Can three people answer the phone a million times a day? Find the leverage in the world, so you can be more lazy!

The meaning of meaning

Sunday, April 26th, 2009

“Meaning is not something you stumble across, like the answer to a riddle or the prize in a treasure hunt. Meaning is something you build into your life. You build it out of your own past, out of your affections and loyalties, out of the experience of humankind as it is passed on to you, out of your own talent and understanding, out of the things you believe in, out of the things and people you love, out of the values for which you are willing to sacrifice something. The ingredients are there. You are the only one who can put them together into that unique pattern that will be your life. Let it be a life that has dignity and meaning for you. If it does, then the particular balance of success or failure is of less account.”

From “Personal Renewal” by John Gardner, posted on PBS. It’s a long post, but full of gems:

We tend to think of youth and the active middle years as the years of commitment. As you get a little older, you’re told you’ve earned the right to think about yourself. But that’s a deadly prescription! People of every age need commitments beyond the self, need the meaning that commitments provide. Self-preoccupation is a prison, as every self-absorbed person finally knows. Commitments to larger purposes can get you out of prison.

Another significant ingredient in motivation is one’s attitude toward the future. Optimism is unfashionable today, particularly among intellectuals. Everyone makes fun of it. Someone said “Pessimists got that way by financing optimists.” But I am not pessimistic and I advise you not to be. As the fellow said, “I’d be a pessimist but it would never work.”

I can tell you that for renewal, a tough-minded optimism is best. The future is not shaped by people who don’t really believe in the future. Men and women of vitality have always been prepared to bet their futures, even their lives, on ventures of unknown outcome. If they had all looked before they leaped, we would still be crouched in caves sketching animal pictures on the wall,

“You’ve known such people — feeling secretly defeated, maybe somewhat sour and cynical, or perhaps just vaguely dispirited. Or maybe they just ran so hard for so long that somewhere along the line they forgot what it was they were running for [...] Life is hard. Just to keep on keeping on is sometimes an act of courage.”

“We learn by accepting the commitments of life, by playing the roles that life hands us (not necessarily the roles we would have chosen). We learn by growing older, by suffering, by loving, by bearing with the things we can’t change, by taking risks.” 

(more…)

Cutting through clutter, doing business right

Thursday, April 23rd, 2009

Excerpt from a book I was reading while on my flight yesterday, a little story about Warren Buffett a.k.a the oracle of Omaha:

Corporate culture is highly competitive. We need to know who is winning and why. The score is kept on Wall St. But neither of us is very good with numbers—in fact, quite the opposite. So we need someone who can take all that raw data and put it in a human context that even we can understand, absorb, and use.

Whoever can do that is our hero. All we really need is a few wise words to set us in the right direction. We are like tourists in a strange land, and we are looking for that scenic overlook, the place where we can pull off the road for a moment and get our bearings. All we need is the right point of view. After that, the rest falls in place.

If you want to understand the American economy as it moves into a new and increasingly global century, Warren Buffett’s point of view is the clearest and cleanest. And as the over fourteen thousand shareholders in his company, Berkshire Hathaway will attest, Buffett is very generous about sharing it.

These events are more like down-home county fairs than your typical proxy-filled corporate snooze-a-thons. Most of Berkshire’s subsidiary companies have booths set up selling their products at substantial shareholder discounts. There is even a not-to-be-missed barbecue. The main event is when Buffett, and his investing sidekick Charlie Munger, take center stage for six hours and answer any and all questions from the audience. These sessions are so open, honest, and informative that many parents have ponied up the almost $100,000 that a share of Berkshire Hathaway costs just so their kids can attend these meetings and see how the world of business works when it is done right.

Comparing his annual meetings to those of other companies, Buffett says, “Many annual meetings are a waste of time, both for shareholders and for management. Sometimes that is true because management is reluctant to open up on matters of business substance. More often a nonproductive session is the fault of the shareholder participants who are more concerned about their own moment onstage than they are about the affairs of the corporation .. Under such circumstances, the quality of the meeting deteriorates from year to year as the antics of those interested in themselves discourage attendance by those interested in the business.

The $100,000 “barrier-to-entry” makes sense, it serves as a waste-my-time-people filter.

“Berkshire meetings are a different story. The number of shareholders attending grows a bit each year and we have yet to experience a silly question or ego-inspired commentary.”

So as the ringmaster of this circus, how has Buffett managed to pull off such a long string of meetings that never go sour?

By very carefully listening to the stories contained in the questions he is being asked. When he responds, he responds with great good humor and not only with facts, but also with the emotions that surround them and make them matter. He puts things in a context that can be easily understood. He can do this because he is not trying to impress anyone. He isn’t trying to get you to see things his way and prove that he is right. He is just opening up his considerable store of experience and intellect and sharing it. That way, when you do naturally see things his way, the awareness arrives with a sense of discovery. You trust that discovery because you are the one who made it. You trust him for helping.

That is what heroes do. They open up complex stories, welcome you in, and make you feel at home. They do it by letting you see the world through the hero’s eyes.

Investing done right, with full transparency straight from the top.

I’m no money-expert like Buffett is, but even in my industry, within the technical circles, a knowledgeable-peer can always suss out the peer who isn’t as honest, sometimes using technical knowledge to take advantage of the less-knowledgeable. I prefer to do business honestly, and rightly. Doing business isn’t about screwing the other guy over (ignore this sentence if you are a used-car salesman)